College Publishing Market Forecast 2007-2008

Apr 1, 2007
216 Pages - Pub ID: CU1493359
Description Table of Contents Search Inside Report

Executive Summary
Chapter 1: Industry Size and Structure
  • Introduction
  • New Textbooks Dominate, but Share Slides
  • Multimedia Materials See Growth
  • Religious Books Are Second-Fastest Growing Segment
  • Used Books Continue to Proliferate
  • Key Media in the Classroom
  • Average Textbook Prices Show Moderate Growth
  • Pearson Tops Simba's College Publisher Index in 2006
    •      Jones and Bartlett and W.W. Norton Outpace Industry Growth
    •      Operating Margins Average 15.9%

  • College Publishing Is Fourth-Largest Segment Worldwide
  • Exports Increase 3% in 2006
  • Sales of Houghton Mifflin and Thomson Learning Lead M&A Activity
  • Table 1.1: Domestic Net Sales in U.S. College Market by Segment, 2005-2007P
  • Table 1.2: New vs. Used Books in the U.S., 2005-2007P
  • Table 1.3: Breakdown of Key Media Used for Instruction in U.S. College Classrooms
  • Table 1.4: Share of Media Used in U.S. College Classrooms, 2007P
  • Table 1.5: Average Textbook Price Comparison, New vs. Used, Academic Years 1999-2006
  • Table 1.6: Simba's College Publisher Index, 2005-2007P
  • Table 1.7: Simba Information's College Publisher Performance Index, 2006 vs. 2005
  • Table 1.8: Worldwide Sales of U.S. Publishers by Segment, 2005-2007P
  • Table 1.9: Top Foreign Markets for Exports for U.S. Textbooks, 2006 vs. 2005
  • Table 1.10: Merger & Acquisition Index, Q1 2007 and 2006

Chapter 2: Enrollment

  • Overview
  • Enrollment by Age
  • Enrollment by Gender
  • Diversity on the Campus
  • Public vs. Private Enrollment Changes
  • Full-Time vs. Part-Time Enrollment Changes
  • A Degree Matters More Now
  • Where the Students Are
  • Table 2.1: Total Enrollment in Higher Education, 1989-2015P
  • Table 2.2: College Enrollment by Age, 1989-2015P
  • Table 2.3: Total Enrollment in Higher Education by Gender, 1990-2015P
  • Table 2.4: U.S. Enrollment Numbers by Race, 1990-2015P
  • Table 2.5: Higher Education Enrollment, Four-Year Public vs. Private, 1989-2015P
  • Table 2.6: Total Enrollment in Higher Education by Enrollment Status, 1989-2015P
  • Table 2.7: Degrees Conferred, 1991-2015P
  • Table 2.8: Enrollment Ranked by State in Two-Year and Four-Year Colleges, Fall 2004
  • Table 2.9: Public High School Graduates, 2003

Chapter 3: Market Niches: Community Colleges, For-Profit Post-Secondary Schools and Distance Learning

  • Introduction
  • Community Colleges
    •      Enrollment Rises
    •      ETS Partners with Community College
    •      Private Two-Year Colleges Grow Faster
    •      Largest Community Colleges Not Always the Most Digitally Savvy

  • Post-Secondary Schools
    •      Traditional Publishers Tap Post-Secondary School Market
    •      Leading For-Profits Post Enrollment Growth, Though It's Slower
    •      Revenue Growth Varies Widely, Stocks Wane in 2006

  • Penetration of Distance Learning
    •      Online Enrollment Continues to Grow
    •      Higher Education Investment in Online
    •      McGraw-Hill Offers Turnkey Online Solutions
    •      Business, Social Sciences Are Most Popular Distance Offerings

  • Table 3.1: Community College Enrollment Growth, 2001-2005P
  • Table 3.2: Undergraduate Community College Fall Enrollment by Type of Institutions, Enrollment Status and Gender: 2001-2004
  • Table 3.3: Top 10 Community Colleges, Ranked by Full-Time Enrollment
  • Table 3.4: Top 10 Digital Community Colleges, 2007
  • Table 3.5: Enrollment Growth at For-Profit Institutions, 1980-2004
  • Table 3.6: Enrollment Patterns, 2006 vs. 2005
  • Table 3.7: For-Profit Colleges, Financial Results, 2006 vs. 2005
  • Table 3.8: Performance of Post-Secondary School Company Stocks, 2006
  • Table 3.9: Distance Learning Disciplines, 2005-2006

Chapter 4: Funding

  • Overview
  • Tuition Increases Slowing
  • Aid Comes in Various Forms
  • Federal Government Steps Up
  • States Innovate to Address Needs
  • Table 4.1: Average Tuition and Fee Charges
  • Table 4.2: Higher Education Financial Aid
  • Table 4.3: Federal Aid for Post-Secondary Education, Estimated 2007
  • Table 4.4: Federal Higher Education Appropriations, 2006-2008P
  • Table 4.5: Appropriations to Higher Education
  • Table 4.6: Educational Revenue per FTE

Chapter 5: Textbooks

  • Introduction
  • Unique Dynamics of Sales and Marketing
  • Changing Nature of Textbooks
  • Bundling? Not So Much
  • Course Staple: Textbooks
  • Used-Book Sales: The Bane of College Publishers
    •      Houghton Mifflin Uses Focus Group
    •      Thomson Learning Takes a Page from People
    •      Wiley Emphasizes Images and Graphics
    • Ten Publishers Command 62% of New Units Sold
    • Math Courses Accounted for the Most Textbook Sales in 2006
      •      Food Science Unit Sales Improve the Most; Computing Declines
      •      Pearson Is Best-Selling Math Publisher in 2006
      •      BFW Takes the Wheel in English
      •      Thomson Learning Heads Up Psychology Roster
      •      Pearson's Benjamin-Cummings Evolves to No. 1 in Biological Sciences
      •      Pearson's Allyn & Bacon, Prentice Hall Capture Education's Top Spots
      •      Houghton Mifflin Leads in History
      •      McGraw-Hill No. 1 in Accounting, Thomson Learning No. 2
      •      McGraw-Hill Is Leading Foreign Language Publisher
      •      Thomson Learning Leads in Chemistry
      •      Thomson Learning Heads List in Economics

    • Table 5.1: Growth in College Textbooks Net Sales, 2000-2006
    • Table 5.2: Book Sales in College Stores
    • Table 5.3: Average Used Book Rate, 2004-2006
    • Table 5.4: Leading Publishers by New Units, 2006 vs. 2005
    • Table 5.5: Top 20 Disciplines for Textbook Sales, 2005 vs. 2006
    • Table 5.6: Unit Sales Patterns, 2005 vs. 2006
    • Table 5.7: Mathematics - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.8: English - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.9: Psychology - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.10: Biological Sciences - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.11: Education - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.12: History - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.13: Accounting - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.14: Foreign Language & Literature - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.15: Chemistry - Leading Publishers, 2006
    • Table 5.16: Economics - Leading Publishers, 2006

Chapter 6: Custom Publishing, Coursepacks & Multimedia

  • Introduction
  • Custom Publishing Continues to Grow
    •      Sophisticated Solutions

  • Coursepacks Migrating to Electronic Delivery
  • Technology Is Integrating Learing
    •      Students Registering for Pearson's MyLab
    •      ThomsonNOW Seeing Traction
    •      Biggest Sales of WileyPLUS in Science
    •      Campus Technology Environment
    •      Thomson Teams Up with Sakai

  • For-Profits Fuel Custom Publishing
  • Table 6.1: Multimedia Materials Used in College Classrooms
  • Table 6.2: Popular Custom Publishing Options
  • Table 6.3: Pearson Custom, 2004-2006
  • Table 6.4: Electronic Media Sampler

Chapter 7: Marketing & Distribution

  • Overview
  • Pricing Debate Continues
  • Distributors Look to Used Texts
  • Jump-Starting e-Texts
  • To Bundle or Not?
  • Free Materials Offer Another Choice
  • College Stores Business Good
  • Internet Options Increase
  • Textbook Rental Costly to Set Up
  • Table 7.1: Where the New Textbook Dollar Goes
  • Table 7.2: Average Product Sales by Segment
  • Table 7.3: Campus Store Ownership/Operations
  • Table 7.4: Contract Management of College Stores by Operator

Chapter 8: Forecast and Conclusions

  • Overview
  • Moderate Growth for Textbooks
  • Table 8.1: Sales Forecast of Key Instructional Materials Used in U.S. Classrooms, 2006-2010
  • Profiles of Leading U.S. College Publishers
    • Bedford, Freeman & Worth
    • Houghton Mifflin Co.
    • Jones and Bartlett
    • McGraw-Hill Education
    • Oxford University Press
    • Pearson Education
    • Thomson Corp./Thomson Learning
    • John Wiley & Sons
    • W.W. Norton

  • Profiles of Leading College Textbook Distributors and Retailers
    • Barnes & Noble College Bookstores
    • eCampus.com
    • Follett Corp.
    • Nebraska Book Co.

  • Profiles of Leading Infrastructure Software Providers
    • Blackboard
    • eCollege

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