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Children's Publishing Market Forecast 2010
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Sep 30, 2009 172 Pages - Pub ID: CURP2088295
Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.
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- Table of Contents
- Methodology
- Executive Summary
- Chapter 1: Overview of the U.S. Children’s Book Market and Buyer Demographics
- Introduction
- Who Are the Buyers?
- Girls Are Still Reading More Than Boys
- Table 1.1: Who Is Buying Most of the Children’s/YA Titles in Your Store?
- Table 1.2: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Adults Who Have Purchased Children’s Books
- Table 1.3: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Buyer Overview Spring 2007/Winter 2009
- Table 1.4: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) with No Children in Household vs. One or More
- Table 1.5: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) with One or More Children in Household
- Table 1.6: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults) Buying Books as Gifts
- Table 1.7: Describe the Gender Mix of Children’s/YA Book Buyers at Your Store 15
- Chapter 2: Trends in Children’s Book Publishing
- Introduction
- Children’s/YA Business vs. Adult Trade: What’s Healthier?
- Children and Young Adults Are Reading Less
- The Role of the Internet, Electronic Components Still Evolving
- Series Still Rising
- Series Case Study: Harry Potter
- Fewer Authors Responsible for More Books
- Trade Paperback Still Gaining Favor
- Motion Picture Tie-Ins
- Retailers and Publishers Relationships and Influence Changing
- Teen Book Market Growth Outpacing Young Children’s
- Table 2.1: Growth of Juvenile Trade vs. Adult Trade
- Table 2.2: Bookstores Compare the First-Half Performances of Adult Trade and Juvenile, 2009 vs. 2008
- Table 2.3: Percentage of Children Who Read Almost Every Day for Fun
- Table 2.4: Frequency with Which Children Read Books for Fun, by Age
- Table 2.5: Frequency with Which Children Read Books for Fun
- Table 2.6: Percentage of Children Who Read a Book the Previous Day
- Table 2.7: Percentage of Time Spent Reading While Using Other Media
- Table 2.8: Growth of Series in Title Output as a Percentage of Total Books Published, 2004-2009
- Table 2.9: NYT/USA Today Children’s Bestsellers, July 2007-June 2008
- Table 2.10: NYT/USA Today Children’s Bestsellers, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 2.11: Scholastic Revenue, FY2000-2008
- Table 2.12: Average Bestselling Titles per Author
- Table 2.13: What Format of Children’s/YA Has Been a Particularly Strong Performer in the First Half of 2009 vs. 2008?
- Table 2.14: What Format of Children’s/YA Has Been a Particularly Weak Performer in the First Half of 2009 vs. 2008?
- Table 2.15: How Would You Rate the Following Formats of Children’s Books in Terms of How They Sell?
- Table 2.16: Top 20 Books to Movies, 2002-2008
- Table 2.17: Children’s Titles on Weekly Bestseller Lists (NYT, USA Today)
- Table 2.18: When Looking at Children’s and Young Adult Titles Separately, How Would You Say Your Business Is Trending?
- Table 2.19: What Age Range Are Your Most Successful Children’s/YA Titles Found?
- Chapter 3: Leading Authors, Books and Imprints
- Introduction
- New York Times Series Bestsellers
- USA Today Bestsellers
- Bestselling Books
- Bestselling Authors
- Leading Imprints
- Composite Analysis of USA Today and New York Times Lists
- Bestselling Books
- Bestselling Authors
- Leading Imprints
- Comparing Parent Publishers: Total Bestsellers and Weeks per Title
- Table 3.1: No. of New Children’s/YA Titles Appearing on NYT & USA Today Bestseller Lists, July 2006-June 2009
- Table 3.2: Top 20 New York Times Series, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.3: Top 20 New York Times Series Authors, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.4: Top New York Times Series Imprints, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.5: Top 20 USA Today Bestsellers, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.6: Top 20 USA Today Authors, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.7: Top 20 USA Today Imprints, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.8: Top 20 Authors, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.9: Top 20 Authors, July 2007-June 2008
- Table 3.10: Top 20 Imprints, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 3.11: Leading Children’s Book Publishers, Two-Year Comparison, July 2007-June 2009
- Table 3.12: Comparison of Publishers, July 2008-June 2009
- Chapter 4: Market Sizing and Forecasts
- Introduction
- Leading Children’s Publishers
- Candlewick
- Disney Publishing Worldwide
- Hachette/Little, Brown Books for Young Readers
- HarperCollins
- Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
- Macmillan
- Penguin Group (USA)
- Random House
- Scholastic
- Simon & Schuster
- Revenue Trends
- Valuation Trends
- Size of the Children’s Publishing Market
- Leading Children’s Publishers by Revenue
- First-Half Comparisons, 2008 vs. 2007
- Forecast for Balance of 2009 and Beyond
- Table 4.1: Harry Potter-Only Revenue, Scholastic
- Table 4.2: Revenue Growth, Children’s Trade Book Market, 2007-2011P
- Table 4.3: Leading Children’s Publishers, 2007-2011P
- Table 4.4: AAP Results: Children’s/YA Category Net Sales
- Table 4.5: AAP Results: Children’s/YA Category Returns
- Chapter 5: Category Trends
- Introduction
- The Top Categories
- USA Today Bestseller Data
- Children’s Titles vs. All Titles Released
- Children’s/YA Category Analysis
- Action & Adventure
- Animals
- Family & Relationships
- Fantasy
- Graphic Novel
- History
- Horror
- Horror & Ghost
- Humor
- People & Places
- Religion
- Schools & Education
- Science Fiction
- Social Issues
- Social Science
- Format Trends
- Table 5.1: Leading Children’s Book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2007-June 2008
- Table 5.2: Leading Children’s Book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 5.3: Leading USA Today Children’s Book Categories by No. of Bestselling Titles, July 2008-June 2009
- Table 5.4: New Children’s/YA Titles vs. All New Titles Released, 2004-2008
- Table 5.5: Select Category Ratings, Six-Year Overview
- Table 5.6: Action & Adventure Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.7: Vital Statistics - Action & Adventure
- Table 5.8: Animals Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.9: Vital Statistics - Animals
- Table 5.10: Family & Relationships Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.11: Vital Statistics - Family & Relationships
- Table 5.12: Fantasy Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.13: Vital Statistics - Fantasy
- Table 5.14: Graphic Novel Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.15: Vital Statistics - Graphic Novel
- Table 5.16: History Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.17: Vital Statistics - History
- Table 5.18: Horror Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.19: Vital Statistics - Horror
- Table 5.20: Horror & Ghost Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.21: Vital Statistics - Horror & Ghost
- Table 5.22: Humor Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.23: Vital Statistics - Humor
- Table 5.24: People & Places Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.25: Vital Statistics - People & Places
- Table 5.26: Religion Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.27: Vital Statistics - Religion
- Table 5.28: Schools & Education Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.29: Vital Statistics - Schools & Education
- Table 5.30: Science Fiction Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.31: Vital Statistics - Science Fiction
- Table 5.32: Social Issues Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.33: Vital Statistics - Social Issues
- Table 5.34: Social Science Bestseller Performance
- Table 5.35: Vital Statistics - Social Science
- Table 5.36: Total Juvenile Hardcover Titles Published, 2003-2008
- Table 5.37: Total Juvenile Softcover Titles Published, 2003-2008
- Table 5.38: Class Share of E-Book Bestsellers, 2008-2009
- Chapter 6: Distribution and Retail Sales
- Introduction
- Where Books Are Being Purchased
- Children’s/YA Through the Lens of Bookstores
- Mass Merchandisers and Children’s Book Retailing
- Performance and Outlook of the Big Three Chains
- Barnes & Noble
- Borders Group
- Books-A-Million
- Profit Margins at the Big Three Chains
- Superstores and Small Format Store Closings
- Online Bookselling
- Book Clubs, Fairs and Direct-to-Consumer Sales
- Table 6.1: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Sales Channel Trends
- Table 6.2: Number of Physical Stores, Big Three vs. Big Box
- Table 6.3: What % of Your Business Is Comprised of Children’s/YA Sales?
- Table 6.4: What % of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Buyers Bought Another Book at the Same Time?
- Table 6.5: How Effective Are the Following Children’s/YA Promotional Efforts?
- Table 6.6: Bestselling Children’s Books at Select Retail Store Web Sites, 2009
- Table 6.7: Revenue Growth, Leading Bookstore Chains, Fiscal 2004-2008
- Table 6.8: Growth in Superstore Sales, Major Retail Chains, 2004-2008
- Table 6.9: Big Three Bookstore Chains Operating Performance, 2004-2008
- Table 6.10: Number of Superstore Outlets, 2003-2008
- Table 6.11: Revenue of Leading Online Booksellers, 2004-2008
- Table 6.12: Overview of Book Purchasing Population (U.S. Adults), Channel by Type of Book Buyer
- Chapter 7: Forecasts and Conclusions
- Conclusions
- Other Recommendations
- Table 7.1: Things Parents Have Done in Relation to Child’s Reading Habits
- Table 7.2: Revenue Growth, Children’s Trade Book Market, 2006-2010P
- Profiles of Leading Children’s Book Publishers
- Candlewick Press
- Disney Publishing Worldwide
- Hachette Book Group
- HarperCollins Publishers
- Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
- Macmillan
- Penguin Group (USA)
- Random House
- Scholastic Corp.
- Simon & Schuster
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